Consensus PnL -$50K · win rate 31% (51–111, n=162) · PM monthly #702 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-50.3K
Record
51W / 111L
Win Rate
31.0%
of 162 settled
Batting Avg
75.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1615
Source
PM monthly #702
Record (90 d)
8/8 · 100%
Trades
1,383
Markets
165
Volume
$1.5M
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Specialties
111 settled consensus markets · held side won 47% at an average entry of 41¢- NHL
+6 pts
side won 47% of 111 · avg entry 41¢
ROI +15%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 29%(won 16% of 32)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 44% of 32)
- 50–70¢: 42%(won 70% of 47)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.