Consensus PnL $145K · win rate 69% (299–136, n=435) · PM monthly #894 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$145.5K
Record
299W / 136L
Win Rate
69.0%
of 435 settled
Batting Avg
69.6%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#784
Source
PM monthly #894
Trades
974
Markets
681
Volume
$3.9M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex $13K · now 30¢ · in at 56¢with the consensus (65% of 71)
Specialties
418 settled consensus markets · held side won 94% at an average entry of 58¢- Esports
+37 pts
side won 94% of 398 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +29%
- MMA
+29 pts
side won 93% of 15 · avg entry 64¢
ROI +29%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 80% of 20)
- 30–50¢: 22%(won 84% of 91)
- 50–70¢: 56%(won 97% of 232)
- 70¢ and up: 18%(won 100% of 75)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.