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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-1790896469009joseph0067700gringo00ndb1
Record (consensus markets)40% (4–6, n=10)53% (10–9, n=19)75% (6–2, n=8)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL-$377$5.6M$3.5M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #777PM monthly #2was PM monthly #19PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 77¢, ROI +23%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%12% (won 0% of 2)0%13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢0%6% (won 0% of 1)0%20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢0%65% (won 73% of 11)100% (won 86% of 7)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 1)18% (won 67% of 3)0%43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.