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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816joseph00677pleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)61% (495–320, n=815)50% (10–10, n=20)49% (345–353, n=698)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$5.3M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #51PM monthly #2was PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=115—MLB −1 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 29% of 125)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 58% of 283)6% (won 0% of 1)38% (won 43% of 266)
Entries 50–70¢43% (won 69% of 354)65% (won 73% of 11)61% (won 54% of 426)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 80% of 60)18% (won 67% of 3)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.