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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)51% (242–235, n=477)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL-$66K$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #462PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicEsports −1 pts, n=154NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won46% of 393 at avg 46¢, ROI −1%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 18% of 115)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 38% of 113)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 63% of 100)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 80% of 65)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.