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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9
Record (consensus markets)74% (427–151, n=578)no settled market63% (12–7, n=19)71% (5–2, n=7)
Consensus PnL$58K—$251K-$7.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #158PM monthly #36 + pinnedPM monthly #700
Sides with the consensus69% (95 of 137 open)no open consensus position50% (2 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40NFL −8 pts, n=71——
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%—
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)19% (won 10% of 96)11% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)21% (won 35% of 105)33% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)27% (won 54% of 132)44% (won 100% of 4)—
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)33% (won 91% of 163)11% (won 100% of 1)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.