Consensus PnL $27K · win rate 44% (100–129, n=229) · PM monthly #939 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$26.5K
Record
100W / 129L
Win Rate
44.0%
of 229 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1418
Source
PM monthly #939
Record (90 d)
99/224 · 44%
Trades
763
Markets
658
Volume
$1.1M
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes $1.1K · now 21¢ · in at 17¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
199 settled consensus markets · held side won 42% at an average entry of 46¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 42% of 196 at an average 46¢ entry (−3 pts against the price), ROI +1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 46%(won 3% of 92)
- 30–50¢: 12%(won 25% of 24)
- 50–70¢: 5%(won 70% of 10)
- 70¢ and up: 37%(won 93% of 73)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.