Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677pakukudolphi
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (80–92, n=172)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$158K
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #758
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—MLB −34 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%43% of 190 at avg 45¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)38% (won 8% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)14% (won 33% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)21% (won 55% of 40)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)26% (won 90% of 50)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.