Consensus PnL $0 · no settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #481 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Record
0W / 0L
Win Rate
—
Batting Avg
—
Win-rate rank
#599
Source
PM monthly #481
Record (90 d)
0/0
Trades
33
Markets
2
Volume
$59.1K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Hersonissos 3: Oskari Paldanius vs Raul BrancaccioRaul Brancaccio $73K · now 59¢ · in at 28¢against the consensus (Oskari Paldanius)
Specialties
4 settled consensus markets · held side won 50% at an average entry of 64¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where crazyoddslover's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 75%(won 67% of 3)
- 70¢ and up: 25%(won 0% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.