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DE
Consensus PnL -$550K · win rate 48% (77–83, n=160) · was PM monthly #390 · holds 1 consensus position
0xde313123...e6b3df79Polymarket
🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-550.0K
Record
77W / 83L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 160 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1898
Source
PM monthly #390
Trades
461
Markets
163
Volume
$4.1M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC win on 2026-11-01?Yes $12K · now 31¢ · in at 47¢with the consensus (30% of 11)
Specialties
77 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 51¢- Soccer
+49 pts
side won 100% of 77 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +49%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 39%(won 100% of 30)
- 50–70¢: 58%(won 100% of 45)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.