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Consensus PnL $83K · win rate 58% (32–23, n=55) · was PM monthly #979 · holds 1 consensus position
0x6e131d6c...6e7fa801Polymarket
⚖️Arb🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$82.7K
Record
32W / 23L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 55 settled
Batting Avg
71.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1312
Source
PM monthly #979
Trades
100
Markets
82
Volume
$881.1K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No $320 · now 28¢ · in at 18¢with the consensus (70% of 10)
Specialties
44 settled consensus markets · held side won 82% at an average entry of 55¢- Geopolitics
+16 pts
side won 79% of 14 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +12%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 18%(won 38% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 80% of 10)
- 50–70¢: 25%(won 91% of 11)
- 70¢ and up: 34%(won 100% of 15)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.