Consensus PnL $23K · win rate 41% (104–150, n=254) · was PM monthly #964 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$23.3K
Record
104W / 150L
Win Rate
41.0%
of 254 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2085
Source
PM monthly #964
Trades
5
Markets
258
Volume
$550.5K
Specialties
116 settled consensus markets · held side won 88% at an average entry of 40¢- Soccer
+62 pts
side won 91% of 43 · avg entry 29¢
ROI +63%
- NBA
+49 pts
side won 96% of 23 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +35%
- Crypto
+38 pts
side won 81% of 32 · avg entry 44¢
ROI +25%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 33%(won 76% of 38)
- 30–50¢: 31%(won 100% of 36)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 87% of 38)
- 70¢ and up: 3%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.