Consensus PnL $14K · win rate 46% (30–35, n=65) · PM monthly #893 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$14.2K
Record
30W / 35L
Win Rate
46.0%
of 65 settled
Batting Avg
57.1%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1356
Source
PM monthly #893
Record (90 d)
63/71 · 89%
Trades
2,628
Markets
155
Volume
$857.1K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp $205 · now 31¢ · in at 30¢against the consensus (T1)
Specialties
65 settled consensus markets · held side won 89% at an average entry of 55¢- Esports
+34 pts
side won 89% of 65 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +4%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 14%(won 78% of 9)
- 30–50¢: 31%(won 80% of 20)
- 50–70¢: 29%(won 95% of 19)
- 70¢ and up: 26%(won 100% of 17)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.