Consensus PnL $118K · win rate 56% (49016–38556, n=87572) · was PM monthly #995 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$118.4K
Record
49016W / 38556L
Win Rate
56.0%
of 87572 settled
Batting Avg
50.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1374
Source
PM monthly #995
Trades
1,818
Markets
177,189
Volume
$3.8M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp $6 · now 1¢ · in at 11¢against the consensus (Down)
- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown $3 · now 37¢ · in at 39¢against the consensus (Up)
Specialties
6,522 settled consensus markets · held side won 93% at an average entry of 49¢- Crypto
+45 pts
side won 93% of 6522 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +42%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 27%(won 77% of 1789)
- 30–50¢: 20%(won 98% of 1277)
- 50–70¢: 29%(won 100% of 1886)
- 70¢ and up: 24%(won 100% of 1570)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.