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Consensus PnL $42K · win rate 69% (464–209, n=673) · PM monthly #620 · holds 2 consensus positions
0x26d6f472...0c8f56efPolymarket
@BadboyLizardLW🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$41.6K
Record
464W / 209L
Win Rate
69.0%
of 673 settled
Batting Avg
87.5%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#779
Source
PM monthly #620
Trades
276
Markets
774
Volume
$1.4M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex $971 · now 57¢ · in at 53¢with the consensus (66% of 67)
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTeam Spirit $564 · now 82¢ · in at 47¢with the consensus (50% of 39)
Specialties
573 settled consensus markets · held side won 61% at an average entry of 44¢- Esports
+17 pts
side won 61% of 563 · avg entry 44¢
ROI +12%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 17%(won 30% of 100)
- 30–50¢: 49%(won 59% of 278)
- 50–70¢: 27%(won 77% of 153)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 95% of 42)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.