Consensus PnL $61K · win rate 81% (220–52, n=272) · PM monthly #431 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$60.6K
Record
220W / 52L
Win Rate
81.0%
of 272 settled
Batting Avg
59.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#412
Source
PM monthly #431
Trades
1,428
Markets
401
Volume
$3.6M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex $1.8K · now 44¢ · in at 53¢with the consensus (66% of 70)
Specialties
255 settled consensus markets · held side won 93% at an average entry of 63¢- Esports
+31 pts
side won 93% of 229 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +19%
- MMA
+24 pts
side won 96% of 26 · avg entry 72¢
ROI +19%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 56% of 9)
- 30–50¢: 20%(won 86% of 51)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 95% of 120)
- 70¢ and up: 29%(won 99% of 75)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.