Consensus PnL $58K · win rate 48% (128–140, n=268) · was PM monthly #795 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$58.2K
Record
128W / 140L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 268 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2059
Source
PM monthly #795
Record (90 d)
114/218 · 52%
Trades
978
Markets
299
Volume
$3.5M
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Titouan DroguetAlex Molcan $2.8K · now 56¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (31% of 13)
- Set Handicap: Rafael Jodar (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5)Alejandro Tabilo $2.2K · now 46¢ · in at 45¢with the consensus (40% of 5)
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael JodarAlejandro Tabilo $1.8K · now 21¢ · in at 21¢against the consensus (Rafael Jodar)
Specialties
262 settled consensus markets · held side won 49% at an average entry of 51¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where fastball67's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Tennis — held side won 49% of 262 at an average 51¢ entry (−2 pts against the price), ROI −1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 11%(won 10% of 29)
- 30–50¢: 35%(won 33% of 91)
- 50–70¢: 40%(won 60% of 104)
- 70¢ and up: 15%(won 87% of 38)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.