Consensus PnL $684K · win rate 79% (1289–339, n=1628) · PM monthly #295 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$684.4K
Record
1289W / 339L
Win Rate
79.0%
of 1628 settled
Batting Avg
44.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#457
Source
PM monthly #295
Record (90 d)
281/289 · 97%
Trades
2,433
Markets
3,060
Volume
$60.6M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ $8.7K · now 93¢ · in at 81¢with the consensus (48% of 22)
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BTYLOO $45 · now 3¢ · in at 1¢against the consensus (MOUZ)
Specialties
1,730 settled consensus markets · held side won 92% at an average entry of 73¢- Esports
+22 pts
side won 95% of 1222 · avg entry 73¢
ROI +6%
- NBA
+12 pts
side won 85% of 504 · avg entry 72¢
ROI +6%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 72% of 82)
- 30–50¢: 16%(won 84% of 281)
- 50–70¢: 25%(won 88% of 430)
- 70¢ and up: 54%(won 98% of 937)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.