Consensus PnL $44K · win rate 69% (71–32, n=103) · was PM monthly #999 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$44.2K
Record
71W / 32L
Win Rate
69.0%
of 103 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#797
Source
PM monthly #999
Trades
10
Markets
104
Volume
$240.0K
Specialties
76 settled consensus markets · held side won 86% at an average entry of 66¢- Esports
+30 pts
side won 95% of 19 · avg entry 65¢
ROI +33%
- Soccer
+13 pts
side won 83% of 36 · avg entry 71¢
ROI +19%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 11%(won 75% of 8)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 81% of 36)
- 70¢ and up: 42%(won 94% of 32)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.