Consensus PnL $24K · win rate 64% (48–27, n=75) · hand-picked wallet · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$23.9K
Record
48W / 27L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 75 settled
Batting Avg
47.6%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#991
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
1,312
Markets
244
Volume
$278.6K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No $146 · now 56¢ · in at 38¢with the consensus (38% of 17)
Specialties
147 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 67¢- Soccer
+31 pts
side won 98% of 124 · avg entry 66¢
ROI +26%
- Esports
+36 pts
side won 92% of 12 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +16%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 70% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 12%(won 100% of 17)
- 50–70¢: 31%(won 98% of 45)
- 70¢ and up: 51%(won 100% of 75)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.