Consensus PnL $13K · win rate 81% (1490–351, n=1841) · was PM monthly #995 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$13.1K
Record
1490W / 351L
Win Rate
81.0%
of 1841 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#399
Source
PM monthly #995
Trades
640
Markets
1,915
Volume
$3.8M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over $4.8K · now 100¢ · in at 97¢with the consensus (58% of 16)
Specialties
1,763 settled consensus markets · held side won 89% at an average entry of 78¢- Soccer
+12 pts
side won 96% of 1126 · avg entry 84¢
ROI +4%
- Esports
+12 pts
side won 79% of 560 · avg entry 67¢
ROI +8%
- Tennis
+11 pts
side won 100% of 18 · avg entry 89¢
ROI +2%
Weakest: NBA — held side won 57% of 30 at an average 66¢ entry (−9 pts against the price), ROI −6%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 48% of 75)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 67% of 137)
- 50–70¢: 14%(won 79% of 248)
- 70¢ and up: 74%(won 96% of 1303)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.