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7A
Consensus PnL $27K · win rate 81% (13–3, n=16) · was PM monthly #961 · holds 1 consensus position
0x7a35f884...4f682744Polymarket
⚖️Arb🎯Sharp
Consensus PnL
$27.0K
Record
13W / 3L
Win Rate
81.0%
of 16 settled
Batting Avg
33.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#421
Source
PM monthly #961
Trades
100
Markets
26
Volume
$629.7K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes $9.4K · now 84¢ · in at 85¢with the consensus (73% of 49)
Specialties
23 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 92¢- Economy
+9 pts
side won 100% of 15 · avg entry 91¢
ROI +5%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 4%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 96%(won 91% of 22)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.