Consensus PnL -$21K · win rate 86% (430–71, n=501) · was PM monthly #905 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-21.1K
Record
430W / 71L
Win Rate
86.0%
of 501 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#312
Source
PM monthly #905
Trades
23
Markets
508
Volume
$2.1M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-11-01?Yes $6.6K · now 100¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (50% of 8)
Specialties
481 settled consensus markets · held side won 94% at an average entry of 93¢- MMA
+2 pts
side won 85% of 33 · avg entry 83¢
ROI +8%
Weakest: College Football — held side won 90% of 21 at an average 93¢ entry (−3 pts against the price), ROI −7%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 2%(won 50% of 8)
- 70¢ and up: 98%(won 94% of 472)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.