Consensus PnL $7.0K · win rate 44% (517–662, n=1179) · was PM monthly #975 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$7.0K
Record
517W / 662L
Win Rate
44.0%
of 1179 settled
Batting Avg
62.5%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2009
Source
PM monthly #975
Trades
200
Markets
1,413
Volume
$1.0M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group AB8 $272 · now 39¢ · in at 38¢against the consensus (Heroic)
- Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 10 Closed Qualifier Group DKUUSAMO.gg $37 · now 51¢ · in at 30¢against the consensus (Donstu Esports)
Specialties
438 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 51¢- Esports
+49 pts
side won 100% of 415 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +51%
- Other Sports
+50 pts
side won 100% of 11 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +44%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 100% of 34)
- 30–50¢: 50%(won 100% of 219)
- 50–70¢: 23%(won 100% of 101)
- 70¢ and up: 19%(won 100% of 84)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.