Consensus PnL $6.8K · win rate 66% (231–118, n=349) · was PM monthly #987 · holds 5 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$6.8K
Record
231W / 118L
Win Rate
66.0%
of 349 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#893
Source
PM monthly #987
Trades
14
Markets
357
Volume
$263.8K
Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 4 of 5 on the consensus side (80%)- Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Iberian Soul - Map 2 WinnerIberian Soul $914 · now 0¢ · in at 73¢with the consensus (50% of 12)
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group AHeroic $831 · now 62¢ · in at 60¢with the consensus (56% of 16)
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ATeam Falcons $794 · now 56¢ · in at 56¢against the consensus (Natus Vincere)
- Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake PlayoffsIberian Soul $666 · now 0¢ · in at 77¢with the consensus (36% of 11)
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BESTIA (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Playoffs100 Thieves $168 · now 100¢ · in at 80¢with the consensus (73% of 11)
Specialties
340 settled consensus markets · held side won 66% at an average entry of 64¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where hasobidale's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 0% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 6%(won 52% of 21)
- 50–70¢: 59%(won 64% of 202)
- 70¢ and up: 34%(won 74% of 115)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.