Consensus PnL -$16K · win rate 64% (275–152, n=427) · was PM monthly #978 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-15.8K
Record
275W / 152L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 427 settled
Batting Avg
33.3%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#968
Source
PM monthly #978
Trades
122
Markets
450
Volume
$666.0K
Specialties
309 settled consensus markets · held side won 87% at an average entry of 59¢- Esports
+29 pts
side won 88% of 234 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +22%
- Soccer
+26 pts
side won 85% of 46 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +25%
- NBA
+22 pts
side won 86% of 28 · avg entry 64¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 54% of 26)
- 30–50¢: 17%(won 74% of 54)
- 50–70¢: 43%(won 92% of 133)
- 70¢ and up: 31%(won 97% of 96)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.