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ED

iii252

Consensus PnL $264K · win rate 65% (486–257, n=743) · PM monthly #107 · holds 2 consensus positions

0xed446954...61e34f76Polymarket
⚖️Arb🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$264.2K

Record

486W / 257L

Win Rate

65.0%

of 743 settled

Batting Avg

52.9%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#925

Source

PM monthly #107

Trades

15,491

Markets

2,157

Volume

$16.8M

Top consensus positions

2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)

Specialties

1,011 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 79¢
  • Esports

    +21 pts

    side won 100% of 1011 · avg entry 79¢

    ROI +1%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

  • under 30¢: 1%(won 100% of 13)
  • 30–50¢: 7%(won 99% of 73)
  • 50–70¢: 21%(won 99% of 209)
  • 70¢ and up: 71%(won 100% of 716)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.