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78
Consensus PnL $23K · win rate 50% (121–119, n=240) · PM monthly #692 · holds 1 consensus position
0x780bfafd...69a77c7dPolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$22.8K
Record
121W / 119L
Win Rate
50.0%
of 240 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1763
Source
PM monthly #692
Trades
96
Markets
242
Volume
$268.8K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF $6.1K · now 90¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (59% of 33)
Specialties
132 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 59¢- Soccer
+32 pts
side won 91% of 132 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +28%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 12%(won 75% of 16)
- 30–50¢: 28%(won 95% of 37)
- 50–70¢: 21%(won 86% of 28)
- 70¢ and up: 39%(won 96% of 51)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.