Consensus PnL $15K · win rate 57% (249–186, n=435) · was PM monthly #993 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$14.9K
Record
249W / 186L
Win Rate
57.0%
of 435 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1386
Source
PM monthly #993
Record (90 d)
242/268 · 90%
Trades
17
Markets
477
Volume
$276.6K
Specialties
268 settled consensus markets · held side won 88% at an average entry of 57¢- Esports
+32 pts
side won 89% of 239 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +34%
- Soccer
+31 pts
side won 86% of 22 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +38%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 47% of 17)
- 30–50¢: 22%(won 83% of 58)
- 50–70¢: 50%(won 93% of 135)
- 70¢ and up: 22%(won 93% of 58)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.