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E4
Consensus PnL $154K · win rate 55% (302–252, n=554) · PM monthly #220 · holds 1 consensus position
0xe40ecff6...389a9770Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$154.2K
Record
302W / 252L
Win Rate
55.0%
of 554 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1453
Source
PM monthly #220
Trades
148
Markets
575
Volume
$14.3M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs BARCA (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance PlayoffsWildcard $10K · now 60¢ · in at 59¢with the consensus (50% of 6)
Specialties
294 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 58¢- Esports
+41 pts
side won 99% of 294 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +46%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 100% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 99% of 69)
- 50–70¢: 51%(won 99% of 151)
- 70¢ and up: 22%(won 100% of 64)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.