Consensus PnL $79K · win rate 54% (72–61, n=133) · PM monthly #198 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$79.3K
Record
72W / 61L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 133 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1529
Source
PM monthly #198
Trades
27
Markets
137
Volume
$560.8K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex $5.5K · now 39¢ · in at 53¢with the consensus (67% of 71)
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit $117 · now 100¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (90% of 10)
Specialties
74 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 47¢- Esports
+56 pts
side won 100% of 48 · avg entry 44¢
ROI +55%
- NBA
+43 pts
side won 96% of 26 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +44%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 100% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 45%(won 97% of 33)
- 50–70¢: 51%(won 100% of 38)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.