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6E
Consensus PnL $28K · win rate 47% (414–475, n=889) · was PM monthly #987 · holds 1 consensus position
0x6eacd4f7...b02aed37Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$27.7K
Record
414W / 475L
Win Rate
47.0%
of 889 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1915
Source
PM monthly #987
Trades
137
Markets
991
Volume
$686.1K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit $1.3K · now 100¢ · in at 47¢with the consensus (47% of 81)
Specialties
429 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 47¢- Esports
+49 pts
side won 96% of 429 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +50%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 97% of 32)
- 30–50¢: 45%(won 95% of 194)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 97% of 203)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.