Consensus PnL $70K · win rate 58% (125–92, n=217) · was PM monthly #930 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$69.6K
Record
125W / 92L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 217 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1302
Source
PM monthly #930
Trades
78
Markets
225
Volume
$638.0K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Over $8.0K · now 50¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (9% of 11)
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01?Yes $296 · now 59¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (33% of 6)
Specialties
114 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 56¢- Tennis
+44 pts
side won 100% of 68 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +45%
- Soccer
+48 pts
side won 100% of 29 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +47%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 32%(won 100% of 36)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 100% of 54)
- 70¢ and up: 20%(won 100% of 23)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.