Consensus PnL $74K · win rate 80% (711–179, n=890) · PM monthly #989 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$74.5K
Record
711W / 179L
Win Rate
80.0%
of 890 settled
Batting Avg
77.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#323
Source
PM monthly #989
Record (90 d)
475/565 · 84%
Trades
16,716
Markets
1,205
Volume
$2.7M
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Specialties
783 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 77¢- Soccer
+4 pts
side won 80% of 777 · avg entry 77¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 11%(won 20% of 86)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 50% of 64)
- 50–70¢: 8%(won 66% of 65)
- 70¢ and up: 73%(won 95% of 568)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.