Consensus PnL $107K · win rate 73% (1107–410, n=1517) · was PM monthly #931 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$107.2K
Record
1107W / 410L
Win Rate
73.0%
of 1517 settled
Batting Avg
87.1%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#620
Source
PM monthly #931
Trades
630
Markets
1,820
Volume
$5.7M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsDplus KIA $779 · now 42¢ · in at 40¢against the consensus (Bilibili Gaming)
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsLYON $29 · now 8¢ · in at 6¢against the consensus (Gen.G)
Specialties
1,295 settled consensus markets · held side won 85% at an average entry of 74¢- Esports
+11 pts
side won 85% of 1293 · avg entry 74¢
ROI +8%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 25% of 114)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 54% of 104)
- 50–70¢: 16%(won 82% of 211)
- 70¢ and up: 67%(won 97% of 866)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.