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58
Consensus PnL -$87K · win rate 49% (29–30, n=59) · PM monthly #129 · holds 1 consensus position
0x5815db9f...39570ae7Polymarket
🐋Whale🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-86.6K
Record
29W / 30L
Win Rate
49.0%
of 59 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1863
Source
PM monthly #129
Trades
37
Markets
64
Volume
$4.2M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Over $41K · now 14¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (4% of 24)
Specialties
29 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 55¢- Soccer
+45 pts
side won 100% of 29 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +45%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 21%(won 100% of 6)
- 50–70¢: 79%(won 100% of 23)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.