Consensus PnL $48K · win rate 48% (170–185, n=355) · was PM monthly #678 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$48.0K
Record
170W / 185L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 355 settled
Batting Avg
78.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1889
Source
PM monthly #678
Trades
769
Markets
401
Volume
$2.4M
Specialties
202 settled consensus markets · held side won 89% at an average entry of 49¢- Tennis
+49 pts
side won 94% of 134 · avg entry 45¢
ROI +37%
- Esports
+44 pts
side won 100% of 12 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +22%
- NFL
+18 pts
side won 88% of 24 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +24%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 17%(won 79% of 34)
- 30–50¢: 34%(won 90% of 68)
- 50–70¢: 37%(won 91% of 74)
- 70¢ and up: 13%(won 96% of 26)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.