Consensus PnL -$4.0K · win rate 50% (3–3, n=6) · was PM monthly #816 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-4.0K
Record
3W / 3L
Win Rate
50.0%
of 6 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#757
Source
PM monthly #816
Record (90 d)
3/6 · 50%
Trades
14
Markets
9
Volume
$40.4K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ $1.6K · now 38¢ · in at 75¢with the consensus (53% of 57)
Specialties
7 settled consensus markets · held side won 57% at an average entry of 47¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where penguin1125's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 14%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 50% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 57%(won 75% of 4)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.