Consensus PnL -$8.5K · win rate 81% (1103–267, n=1370) · was PM monthly #889 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-8.5K
Record
1103W / 267L
Win Rate
81.0%
of 1370 settled
Batting Avg
61.1%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#400
Source
PM monthly #889
Trades
606
Markets
2,752
Volume
$6.0M
Specialties
1,041 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 88¢- Esports
+12 pts
side won 99% of 970 · avg entry 88¢
ROI +9%
- Soccer
+6 pts
side won 100% of 65 · avg entry 94¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 36% of 11)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 98% of 51)
- 50–70¢: 8%(won 99% of 88)
- 70¢ and up: 86%(won 100% of 891)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.