Consensus PnL -$3.1K · win rate 42% (94–128, n=222) · was PM monthly #958 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-3.1K
Record
94W / 128L
Win Rate
42.0%
of 222 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2326
Source
PM monthly #958
Record (90 d)
95/110 · 86%
Trades
143
Markets
234
Volume
$811.2K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over $4.7K · now 47¢ · in at 47¢against the consensus (Under)
- Mjallby AIF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 2.5Over $1.3K · now 1¢ · in at 48¢against the consensus (Under)
Specialties
106 settled consensus markets · held side won 86% at an average entry of 49¢- NBA
+37 pts
side won 86% of 76 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +37%
- Soccer
+41 pts
side won 90% of 21 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +45%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 62%(won 83% of 66)
- 50–70¢: 35%(won 89% of 37)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.