Consensus PnL $41K · win rate 36% (10–18, n=28) · PM monthly #806 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$41.2K
Record
10W / 18L
Win Rate
36.0%
of 28 settled
Batting Avg
7.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2541
Source
PM monthly #806
Record (90 d)
12/27 · 44%
Trades
399
Markets
31
Volume
$133.9K
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Specialties
26 settled consensus markets · held side won 42% at an average entry of 40¢- Esports
+5 pts
side won 44% of 16 · avg entry 39¢
ROI +16%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 46%(won 8% of 12)
- 30–50¢: 27%(won 57% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 19%(won 80% of 5)
- 70¢ and up: 8%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.