Consensus PnL $17K · win rate 61% (84–54, n=138) · PM monthly #973 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$16.5K
Record
84W / 54L
Win Rate
61.0%
of 138 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1130
Source
PM monthly #973
Trades
3
Markets
145
Volume
$307.8K
Specialties
127 settled consensus markets · held side won 73% at an average entry of 57¢- Soccer
+16 pts
side won 74% of 53 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +13%
- Esports
+20 pts
side won 80% of 30 · avg entry 60¢
ROI +8%
- NBA
+18 pts
side won 73% of 33 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +20%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 16%(won 75% of 20)
- 50–70¢: 77%(won 73% of 98)
- 70¢ and up: 6%(won 75% of 8)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.