Consensus PnL $18K · win rate 76% (16–5, n=21) · was PM monthly #940 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$18.2K
Record
16W / 5L
Win Rate
76.0%
of 21 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#567
Source
PM monthly #940
Record (90 d)
20/20 · 100%
Trades
19
Markets
28
Volume
$44.6K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Falcons Force - Map 2 WinnerFalcons Force $739 · now 11¢ · in at 36¢against the consensus (megoshort)
- Counter-Strike: DNK vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageWingman $253 · now 34¢ · in at 38¢against the consensus (DNK)
Specialties
15 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 55¢- Esports
+45 pts
side won 100% of 15 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +51%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 27%(won 100% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 40%(won 100% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 27%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.