Consensus PnL $59K · win rate 68% (591–277, n=868) · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$59.5K
Record
591W / 277L
Win Rate
68.0%
of 868 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#854
Trades
2,996
Markets
52,669
Volume
$21.3M
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Specialties
438 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 70¢- Crypto
+9 pts
side won 80% of 438 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +11%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 4% of 23)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 41% of 32)
- 50–70¢: 26%(won 69% of 114)
- 70¢ and up: 61%(won 95% of 269)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.