Consensus PnL $357K · win rate 59% (780–540, n=1320) · was PM monthly #856 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$357.4K
Record
780W / 540L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 1320 settled
Batting Avg
33.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1213
Source
PM monthly #856
Trades
225
Markets
1,550
Volume
$6.0M
Specialties
1,178 settled consensus markets · held side won 59% at an average entry of 56¢- Soccer
+3 pts
side won 59% of 1153 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +5%
- MMA
+7 pts
side won 40% of 10 · avg entry 33¢
ROI 0%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 34%(won 10% of 404)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 44% of 98)
- 50–70¢: 11%(won 67% of 124)
- 70¢ and up: 47%(won 95% of 552)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.