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C2
Consensus PnL -$96K · win rate 46% (153–177, n=330) · PM monthly #594 · holds 1 consensus position
0xc289082d...8ab4ab37Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-96.4K
Record
153W / 177L
Win Rate
46.0%
of 330 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1955
Source
PM monthly #594
Trades
135
Markets
337
Volume
$2.3M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes $83 · now 3¢ · in at 19¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
155 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 55¢- Soccer
+42 pts
side won 98% of 153 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +38%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 67% of 9)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 94% of 36)
- 50–70¢: 57%(won 100% of 88)
- 70¢ and up: 14%(won 100% of 22)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.