Consensus PnL $63K · win rate 100% (5–0, n=5) · PM monthly #121 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$62.7K
Record
5W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 5 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#16
Source
PM monthly #121
Record (90 d)
5/5 · 100%
Trades
26
Markets
6
Volume
$172.5K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick HanfmannAlex Michelsen $19K · now 90¢ · in at 79¢with the consensus (39% of 27)
Specialties
5 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 72¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where stuttig's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 20%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 80%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.