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E6
Consensus PnL -$5.9K · win rate 53% (461–416, n=877) · was PM monthly #770 · holds 1 consensus position
0xe6bf45da...038016b9Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-5.9K
Record
461W / 416L
Win Rate
53.0%
of 877 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1555
Source
PM monthly #770
Trades
213
Markets
881
Volume
$1.4M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?Yes $1.8K · now 41¢ · in at 41¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
508 settled consensus markets · held side won 92% at an average entry of 65¢- Soccer
+26 pts
side won 92% of 506 · avg entry 65¢
ROI +17%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 74% of 47)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 83% of 47)
- 50–70¢: 30%(won 95% of 153)
- 70¢ and up: 51%(won 94% of 261)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.