Consensus PnL $26K · win rate 73% (54–20, n=74) · PM monthly #823 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$25.6K
Record
54W / 20L
Win Rate
73.0%
of 74 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#641
Source
PM monthly #823
Record (90 d)
67/78 · 86%
Trades
88
Markets
100
Volume
$160.6K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: DNK vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageDNK $1.9K · now 66¢ · in at 54¢with the consensus (25% of 9)
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Falcons Force - Map 2 Winnermegoshort $992 · now 90¢ · in at 65¢with the consensus (63% of 16)
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group Bmegoshort $204 · now 92¢ · in at 47¢with the consensus (45% of 11)
Specialties
63 settled consensus markets · held side won 86% at an average entry of 59¢- Esports
+27 pts
side won 86% of 63 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +24%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 60% of 15)
- 50–70¢: 54%(won 91% of 34)
- 70¢ and up: 21%(won 100% of 13)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.