
Consensus PnL $54K · win rate 36% (4–7, n=11) · was PM monthly #336 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$54.0K
Record
4W / 7L
Win Rate
36.0%
of 11 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#832
Source
PM monthly #336
Record (90 d)
4/11 · 36%
Trades
246
Markets
13
Volume
$187.6K
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group AVitality $41K · now 68¢ · in at 67¢with the consensus (62% of 35)
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerLegacy $1.2K · now 13¢ · in at 34¢against the consensus (Team Falcons)
Specialties
4 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 53¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where tankfest2027's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 50%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 50%(won 100% of 2)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.